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Chances grow for historic El Niño: Here's what that means for Florida

Katherine Langford
Editor-in-Chief · Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 9:52 PM · 1 min read
Chances grow for historic El Niño: Here's what that means for Florida — Celebration Sports news

In its monthly update, the climate prediction center increased the probability that the current El Niño event will reach historic levels.The agency is now giving this current El Niño a 60% chance to be the strongest event since reliable recordkeeping began in 1950.The current predictions would have this event surpassing recent events, such as 2015/2016, 1997/1998 and 1982/1983.It is important to note that stronger events do not always mean bigger weather and climate impacts, but they do make it more likely.The agency also confirmed that warming in the Niño 3.4 region in the equatorial Pacific surpassed the temperature anomaly of 2°C. This is significant as the current El Niño event is considered “very strong,” the highest on the categorization scale.While no two El Niño events are exactly alike, significant winter impacts to Florida are typical.Historically, very strong El Niño events bring increased potential for heavy rain and severe weather including tornadoes.For a deeper look at p

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